Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5502
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
OO 5502 · MRY → SFO
departs 8:00 AM PT · arrives 8:56 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 36%
Tue 10/6 29%
Wed 10/7 32%
Thu 10/8 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 56% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0 mi forecast at MRY that day
↑
8am departures from MRY are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SFO
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MRY (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.