Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 5502
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
OO 5502 · MRY → SFO
departs 8:00 AM PT · arrives 8:56 AM PT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 66h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 54%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 29%
Wed 10/7 32%
Thu 10/8 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave MRY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SFO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SFO?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 56% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0 mi forecast at MRY that day
↑
8am departures from MRY are often late
↓
Visibility down to 2 mi forecast at SFO that day
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MRY (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0 mi Precip none
SFO (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.