Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1869SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Today
UA 1869 · IAD → SAT
departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 8:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
28%chance · ±4 pts−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREGood. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
How late will it get to SAT?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.