tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1869 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

UA 1869 · IAD → SAT

departs 5:45 PM ET · arrives 8:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 39h before departure
Arrive at SAT more than 15 minutes late?
25% chance · ±5 pts +2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 4.8d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SAT?

  1. On time or early
    75%
  2. 15–30 min late
    11%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    4%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.