Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 586
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow
UA 586 · DEN → MCI
departs 1:40 PM MT · arrives 4:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 AM ET · 30h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
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How late will it get to MCI?
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On time or early
84%
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15–30 min late
6%
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30 min–1 hour late
4%
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1–2 hours late
3%
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Over 2 hours late
2%
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Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.