Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
UNITED · FLIGHT UA 586SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
UA 586 · DEN → MCI
departs 1:40 PM MT · arrives 4:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
13%chance · ±1 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.