Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1417
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 1417 · DAL → TPA
departs 7:45 PM CT · arrives 11:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 44%
Sun 10/4 44%
Mon 10/5 27%
Thu 10/8 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
72%
chance · ±0 pts
+14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
72%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
40%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 50% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
72%
Yes 72%
No 28%
Leave DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 57% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at TPA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to TPA?
On time or early
26%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
27%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi, 0.9 in of rain forecast at DAL that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
0.6 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at TPA that day
↓
DAL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
DAL (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.90 in
TPA (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.