Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2145
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2145 · ISP → BWI
departs 5:50 PM ET · arrives 7:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 4h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 15%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 20%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±0 pts
+16 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at ISP that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into BWI at that hour are often late
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ISP (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.23 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.