Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2353
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2353 · BWI → RIC
departs 10:55 PM ET · arrives 11:55 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 5h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 56%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
49%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
23%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 48% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RIC
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
RIC (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 9,000 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.