Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2353
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
WN 2353 · BWI → RIC
departs 10:10 PM ET · arrives 11:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 56%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
−6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at RIC that day
↑
10pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
RIC (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.