Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2353
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 2353 · BWI → RIC
departs 10:40 PM ET · arrives 11:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 53h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 58%
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
60%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RIC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed – in 24h
–
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Arrive at RIC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RIC?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
10pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at RIC that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BWI that day
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
BWI is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.38 in
RIC (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 1.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.