Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2922
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2922 · MIA → BNA
departs 11:40 AM ET · arrives 1:00 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 15%
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±2 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↑
11am departures from MIA are often late
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
MIA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.03 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.57 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.