Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2922
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
WN 2922 · MIA → BNA
departs 10:05 AM ET · arrives 11:30 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 46h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±1 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
12%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.5d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at BNA that day
↑
MIA is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 32% of the time recently
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.25 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.