Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2924
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 2924 · MIA → BWI
departs 3:05 PM ET · arrives 5:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 24%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
29%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
3pm departures from MIA are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
↓
MIA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 1,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
BWI (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.