Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4925
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
WN 4925 · MIA → MCI
departs 3:30 PM ET · arrives 5:50 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 27%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 27%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
45%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave MIA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 42% of the time recently
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
MIA is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
MIA (origin)
Gusts 26 kt
Ceiling 1,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 2,700 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.