Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4925 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

WN 4925 · MIA → MCI

departs 2:30 PM ET · arrives 4:40 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 28h before departure

Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?

27% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCI?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 42% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from MIA are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI

Weather at each end

MIA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCI (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 4925 · MIA → MCI

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCI?