Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 914
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
WN 914 · CLT → BNA
departs 4:00 PM ET · arrives 4:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Sun 10/4 46%
Mon 10/5 25%
Fri 10/9 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
53%
chance · ±0 pts
+12 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
53%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
53%
Yes 53%
No 47%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,433 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
4pm departures from CLT are often late
↑
Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at CLT
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 8 mi Precip none
BNA (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.