Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 3578
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 3578 · PIT → EWR
departs 6:20 PM ET · arrives 8:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 13%
Sun 10/4 58%
Mon 10/5 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±3 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at EWR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to EWR?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
26%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
EWR is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.15 in
EWR (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.