Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 4702
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 4702 · DCA → LGA
departs 6:19 PM ET · arrives 7:49 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 39%
Mon 10/5 36%
Tue 10/6 33%
Wed 10/7 45%
Odds over time
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±4 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
34%
Cancelled
25%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LGA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at LGA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
How late will it get to LGA?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
18%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
25%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGA
↑
Arrivals into LGA at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 38% of the time recently
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
LGA (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.