Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5592
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5592 · DCA → BOS
departs 12:55 PM ET · arrives 2:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 11h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 22%
Thu 10/8 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
<1%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
12pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.