Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5600
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5600 · DCA → BOS
departs 3:15 PM ET · arrives 5:02 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 12%
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 34%
Thu 10/8 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+32 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
35%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +32 pts in 24h
+32 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
39%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
24%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↑
3pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.