Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5600
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
YX 5600 · DCA → BOS
departs 2:40 PM ET · arrives 4:25 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 34%
Thu 10/8 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
12%
chance · ±1 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
12%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 37% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
2pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.