Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5707
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5707 · DCA → BNA
departs 8:59 PM ET · arrives 10:02 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 19h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±7 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at BNA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to BNA?
On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at DCA
↑
8pm departures from DCA are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.10 in
BNA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.15 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.