tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5717 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Tomorrow

YX 5717 · LGA → DCA

departs 5:15 PM ET · arrives 6:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 PM ET · 20h before departure
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±2 pts +4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 3.8d 2d 1d Now 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to DCA?

  1. On time or early
    31%
  2. 15–30 min late
    0%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    17%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    11%
  6. Cancelled
    38%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.