Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5837
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
YX 5837 · CLT → BOS
departs 5:34 PM ET · arrives 8:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 13h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 35%
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 34%
Thu 10/8 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±0 pts
+25 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
46%
Arrive 1h+ late
31%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +27 pts in 24h
+27 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +23 pts in 24h
+23 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BOS
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Other factors
↓
YX's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.