Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
REPUBLIC · FLIGHT YX 5837
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
YX 5837 · CLT → BOS
departs 5:34 PM ET · arrives 8:15 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 47%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 27%
Tue 10/6 19%
Wed 10/7 33%
Thu 10/8 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
5.8d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 1.4 in of rain forecast at CLT that day
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↑
5pm departures from CLT are often late
↓
YX's recent on-time record
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
CLT (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 1.34 in
BOS (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.