Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1526 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1526 · CLT → BNA

departs 3:21 PM ET · arrives 3:50 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 18h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±3 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, 1.1 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.83 in

BNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.25 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1526 · CLT → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?