Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1526 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AA 1526 · CLT → BNA

departs 3:08 PM ET · arrives 3:36 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 52h before departure

Arrive at BNA more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BNA?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Arrivals into BNA at that hour are often late

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ BNA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precipnone

BNA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling10,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1526 · CLT → BNA

Odds over time

How late will it get to BNA?