Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1749 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1749 · CLT → PIT

departs 8:30 PM ET · arrives 9:57 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PIT?

On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIT

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.54 in

PIT (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling11,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1749 · CLT → PIT

Odds over time

How late will it get to PIT?