AA 1749 · CLT → RDU

departs 7:15 AM ET · arrives 8:19 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 PM ET · 15h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±1 pts −23 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at RDU that day

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into RDU at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts12 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.22 in

RDU (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.62 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1749 · CLT → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?