Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 1891 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 1891 · CLT → GRR

departs 2:56 PM ET · arrives 4:50 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at GRR more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to GRR?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 37% of the time recently

↑ 2pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ GRR usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.54 in

GRR (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 1891 · CLT → GRR

Odds over time

How late will it get to GRR?