Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2390 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2390 · CLT → RDU

departs 1:18 PM ET · arrives 2:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

23% chance · ±4 pts −4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ RDU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.54 in

RDU (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2390 · CLT → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?