Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2390 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Monday, October 5

AA 2390 · CLT → RDU

departs 1:18 PM ET · arrives 2:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 67h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

22% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 29% of the time recently

↑ 1pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↓ Mondays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ RDU usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.32 in

RDU (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2390 · CLT → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?