Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2825 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2825 · CLT → DCA

departs 9:21 AM ET · arrives 10:50 AM ET

Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±1 pts −3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DCA?

On time or early
88%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 23% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ DCA usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.39 in

DCA (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling2,967 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.14 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2825 · CLT → DCA

Odds over time

How late will it get to DCA?