tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2852 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

AA 2852 · DCA → TPA

departs 10:15 AM ET · arrives 12:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Arrive at TPA more than 15 minutes late?
15% chance · ±2 pts −3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 4.5d 2d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to TPA?

  1. On time or early
    84%
  2. 15–30 min late
    3%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    2%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    3%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.