Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 2989 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AA 2989 · CLT → CVG

departs 8:45 PM ET · arrives 10:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 2:00 PM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±1 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CVG?

On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at CLT that day

↑ 8pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ This flight has been late 34% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.54 in

CVG (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 2989 · CLT → CVG

Odds over time

How late will it get to CVG?