AA 3068 · CLT → MIA

departs 9:44 PM ET · arrives 11:43 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 6:00 PM ET · 4h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

31% chance · ±0 pts −10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ 9pm departures from CLT are often late

↑ Arrivals into MIA at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

CLT (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.17 in

MIA (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3068 · CLT → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?