Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 3079 SCHEDULED · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Today

AA 3079 · TYS → MIA

departs 6:31 AM ET · arrives 8:15 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 5:00 AM ET · 2h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

17% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

What’s moving the odds

↑ AA's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceiling2,100 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.47 in

MIA (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3079 · TYS → MIA

Odds over time