AA 3079 · TYS → MIA

departs 6:07 AM ET · arrives 8:29 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 23h before departure

Arrive at MIA more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MIA?

On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 1.0 in of rain forecast at TYS that day

↑ MIA is prone to delays

↑ This flight has been late 24% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at MIA

Weather at each end

TYS (origin) Gusts5 kt Ceiling200 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.99 in

MIA (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AA 3079 · TYS → MIA

Odds over time

How late will it get to MIA?