Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
AMERICAN · FLIGHT AA 591SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
AA 591 · LAX → DCA
departs 12:26 PM PT · arrives 8:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 50h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
17%chance · ±0 pts– · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.