Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

ALASKA · FLIGHT AS 1024 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

AS 1024 · LIH → HNL

departs 8:22 AM HT · arrives 8:59 AM HT

Forecast issued Fri 6:00 PM ET · 20h before departure

Arrive at HNL more than 15 minutes late?

8% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HNL?

On time or early
90%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ HNL is prone to delays

↑ AS's recent on-time record

↑ Other factors

↓ 8am departures from LIH are usually not late

↓ Arrivals into HNL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

LIH (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precipnone

HNL (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling8,000 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

AS 1024 · LIH → HNL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HNL?