Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1047
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Today
B6 1047 · PHL → SJU
departs 12:38 PM ET · arrives 4:30 PM AT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 PM ET · 14h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 20%
Thu 10/8 25%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
SJU is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 6,929 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.