Schedule: a typical summer Monday (the flights of Jul 27, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1047
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Monday, October 5
B6 1047 · PHL → SJU
departs 12:38 PM ET · arrives 4:30 PM AT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 20%
Thu 10/8 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
33%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed – in 24h
–
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed – in 24h
–
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↓
Mondays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.