Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1047
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
B6 1047 · PHL → SJU
departs 12:44 PM ET · arrives 4:36 PM AT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 7h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 25%
Wed 10/7 24%
Thu 10/8 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±0 pts
+15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +15 pts in 24h
+15 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SJU
↑
This flight has been late 26% of the time recently
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.