Schedule: a typical summer Sunday (the flights of Jul 26, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1047
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Sunday, October 4
B6 1047 · PHL → SJU
departs 12:38 PM ET · arrives 4:30 PM AT
Forecast issued Fri 8:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/3 26%
Sun 10/4
Mon 10/5 29%
Tue 10/6 20%
Wed 10/7 20%
Thu 10/8 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
39%
chance · ±4 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
39%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Leave PHL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
60%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at PHL that day
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
PHL is prone to delays
↓
Sundays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
PHL is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
PHL (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.39 in
SJU (destination)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.