Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 1414
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
B6 1414 · DCA → MVY
departs 12:56 PM ET · arrives 2:19 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 38h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 24%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 28%
Wed 10/7 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at MVY more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MVY more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at MVY more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MVY?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 22% of the time recently
↑
12pm departures from DCA are often late
↓
DCA is quiet at that time
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DCA (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 2,967 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.14 in
MVY (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.08 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.