Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
JETBLUE · FLIGHT B6 2324
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
B6 2324 · MCO → DCA
departs 1:40 PM ET · arrives 3:59 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 31%
Fri 10/2 46%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
37%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DCA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Arrive at DCA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DCA?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 39% of the time recently
↑
B6's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
DCA usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 6,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.19 in
DCA (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 2,033 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.