DL 2181 · AVL → MSP

took off 1:18 PM ET · landed 2:30 PM CT (scheduled 1:14 PM ET → 2:45 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +6 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to MSP?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at AVL that day

↑ This flight has been late 25% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MSP

↓ MSP usually runs smoothly

↓ AVL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

AVL (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility1.25 mi Precipnone

MSP (destination) Gusts29 kt Ceiling7,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

DL 2181 · AVL → MSP

Odds over time

How late did it get to MSP?