tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2654 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL ODDS

DL 2654 · ATL → MSP

departs 4:38 PM ET · arrives 6:18 PM CT
Forecast issued Mon 10:00 PM ET · 115h before departure

Typical odds Too early for a weather forecast — these are typical odds for this flight on a Saturday in October, from the weather this date has had in past years (the range shows how much they varied). They’ll switch to forecast-based odds about 3 days before departure.

Arrive at MSP more than 15 minutes late?
11% chance · ±4 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Low. This is mostly a starting point from history; weather forecasts haven't kicked in yet.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 5% 10% 15% 20% Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSP?

  1. On time or early
    89%
  2. 15 min–1 hour late
    7%
  3. Over 1 hour late
    4%
  4. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.