Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
DELTA · FLIGHT DL 2819
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
DL 2819 · MSP → CLT
departs 12:55 PM CT · arrives 4:27 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 5:00 PM ET · 69h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 15%
Thu 10/1 9%
Fri 10/2 11%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CLT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave MSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at CLT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CLT?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
<1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Other factors
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at CLT that day
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
DL's recent on-time record
↓
MSP usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MSP (origin)
Gusts 24 kt
Ceiling none (clear)
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
CLT (destination)
Gusts 16 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.09 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.